Question

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction79% (67% - 87%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 79%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forrester’s Predictions 2024: 60% Percent of Generative AI Skeptics Will Embrace the Technology — Knowingly or Not

•Dec 24, 2024

OpenAI’s o3 suggests AI models are scaling in new ways — but so are the costs

TechCrunch•Dec 24, 2024

Predictions for AI in 2025: Collaborative Agents, AI Skepticism, and New Risks

•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Forrester’s Predictions 2024: 60% Percent of Generative AI Skeptics Will Embrace the Technology — Knowingly or Not

•Dec 24, 2024

OpenAI’s o3 suggests AI models are scaling in new ways — but so are the costs

TechCrunch•Dec 24, 2024

Predictions for AI in 2025: Collaborative Agents, AI Skepticism, and New Risks

•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

40%